SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Cork City had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Cork City win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Cork City |
44.07% ( -0.05) | 27.55% ( 0) | 28.38% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.97% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.72% ( 0) | 58.28% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.09% ( 0) | 78.91% ( -0) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.71% ( -0.03) | 26.29% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.59% ( -0.03) | 61.41% ( 0.03) |
| Cork City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.72% ( 0.04) | 36.28% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.94% ( 0.04) | 73.06% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Cork City |
| 1-0 @ 12.74% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 9.54% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 28.38% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Derry CityDerry | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 34 |
| 2 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 33 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 30 |
| 4 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 29 |
| 5 | DundalkDundalk | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Sligo RoversSligo | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 22 |
| 8 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 20 |
| 9 | Cork City | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 15 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 38 | -29 | 6 |
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