SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 1-0 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
33.9% ( 0.2) | 28.66% ( 0.05) | 37.44% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 45.74% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.28% ( -0.15) | 60.72% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.22% ( -0.11) | 80.78% ( 0.12) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.49% ( 0.06) | 33.51% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.86% ( 0.07) | 70.14% ( -0.06) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.79% ( -0.23) | 31.21% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.45% ( -0.27) | 67.55% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.9% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.65% | 0-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 37.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 30 |
| 2 | Derry CityDerry | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 28 |
| 4 | DundalkDundalk | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 23 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Sligo RoversSligo | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 14 |
| 9 | Cork City | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 9 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 31 | -24 | 6 |
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