SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 52.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Drogheda United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
52.69% ( -1.47) | 24.18% ( 0.5) | 23.12% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 52.32% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.94% ( -1.08) | 49.06% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.86% ( -0.98) | 71.14% ( 0.98) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.42% ( -0.96) | 18.57% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.16% ( -1.64) | 49.84% ( 1.63) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.26% ( 0.3) | 35.74% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.49% ( 0.31) | 72.51% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.25% Total : 52.69% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.92% Total : 23.12% |
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