SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Waterford United |
47.49% ( -0.38) | 25.83% ( 0.08) | 26.67% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 50.78% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.2% ( -0.11) | 52.8% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.57% ( -0.1) | 74.42% ( 0.09) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( -0.21) | 22.23% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.34% ( -0.32) | 55.65% ( 0.32) |
| Waterford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.29% ( 0.19) | 34.7% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.57% ( 0.2) | 71.43% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Waterford United |
| 1-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 47.48% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.15% Total : 26.67% |
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