Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
