Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.62%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
