SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
36.99% ( 2.1) | 24.78% ( 0.39) | 38.23% ( -2.49) |
| Both teams to score 58.55% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.37% ( -1.58) | 44.63% ( 1.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33% ( -1.54) | 67% ( 1.54) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.2% ( 0.42) | 23.8% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.03% ( 0.61) | 57.97% ( -0.61) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( -1.92) | 23.15% ( 1.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.97% ( -2.89) | 57.03% ( 2.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
| 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.62)2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.51)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.06% Total : 36.99% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.37)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.28)1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.39)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.31)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.24)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.23% |
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