SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Girona had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Girona win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Villarreal |
34.59% ( -0.6) | 24.64% ( 0.01) | 40.76% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 58.72% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.72% ( -0.14) | 44.28% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.34% ( -0.14) | 66.66% ( 0.13) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.03% ( -0.41) | 24.97% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.39% ( -0.57) | 59.61% ( 0.56) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.26% ( 0.22) | 21.74% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.09% ( 0.34) | 54.91% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Villarreal |
| 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.59% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 70 | 20 | 50 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 78 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 33 | 37 | 77 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 71 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 60 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 51 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 50 |
| 10 | GironaGirona | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 49 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 49 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 49 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 43 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 42 |
| 15 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Almeria | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 41 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 40 |
| R | Espanyol | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 37 |
| R | ElcheElche | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 67 | -37 | 25 |
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