Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
