Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 48.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
