Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
