Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 67.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 12.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
