Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
