Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%).
