SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vissel Kobe | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
31.39% ( -2.61) | 26.08% ( -0.27) | 42.53% ( 2.88) |
| Both teams to score 52.84% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.55% ( 0.45) | 51.45% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.74% ( 0.39) | 73.26% ( -0.39) |
| Vissel Kobe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.52% ( -1.5) | 30.47% ( 1.49) |
