SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kawasaki Frontale | 38 | 53 | 92 |
| 2 | Yokohama F Marinos | 38 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 38 | 26 | 73 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Consadole Sapporo | 37 | -1 | 51 |
| 11 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 38 | 2 | 49 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 38 | -4 | 48 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
50.24% ( 0.38) | 23.85% ( -0.11) | 25.91% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 56.4% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.9% ( 0.24) | 45.1% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.55% ( 0.23) | 67.45% ( -0.23) |
| Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.98% ( 0.24) | 18.01% ( -0.24) |
