SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
34.68% ( 0.12) | 26.27% ( -0.26) | 39.05% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.16% ( 0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.53% ( 1.12) | 51.47% ( -1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.72% ( 0.97) | 73.28% ( -0.96) |
| Urawa Red Diamonds Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.65% ( 0.62) | 28.34% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.92% ( 0.77) | 64.08% ( -0.77) |
| Kashiwa Reysol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.18% ( 0.6) | 25.82% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.22% ( 0.8) | 60.78% ( -0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.68% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.05% |
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