SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Consadole Sapporo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Consadole Sapporo | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
41.62% ( 2.27) | 25.7% ( -0.16) | 32.68% ( -2.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.52% ( 0.24) | 49.48% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.48% ( 0.21) | 71.51% ( -0.21) |
| Consadole Sapporo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.42% ( 1.27) | 23.58% ( -1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.35% ( 1.8) | 57.65% ( -1.8) |
| Kashiwa Reysol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% ( -1.2) | 28.63% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.56% ( -1.53) | 64.44% ( 1.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Consadole Sapporo | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.44)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.33)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.07)Other @ 2% Total : 41.62% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.42)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.26)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.68% |
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