Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 51.43%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki Frontale	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
51.43% ( 0.15)	23.53% ( -0.04)	25.04% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 56.61% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.59% (

0.05)

44.41% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.22% (

0.05)

66.78% (

-0.05)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.69% (

0.07)

17.31% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.34% (

0.13)

47.66% (

-0.13)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.46% (

-0.06)

31.54% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.06% (

-0.08)

67.93% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Kawasaki Frontale 51.43%

Nagoya Grampus 25.04%

Draw 23.52%

Kawasaki Frontale	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.85% Total : 51.43%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.52%	1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 25.04%