SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gamba Osaka | Draw | Kashima Antlers |
29.89% ( 0.34) | 27.99% ( 0.14) | 42.11% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 46.51% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
