SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Albirex Niigata | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
46.95% ( -0.32) | 25.87% ( 0.35) | 27.18% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.06% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.38% ( -1.44) | 52.62% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.72% ( -1.25) | 74.27% ( 1.24) |
| Albirex Niigata Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% ( -0.74) | 22.4% ( 0.74) |
