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Champions League final: 23 hrs 44 mins
J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 7, 2023 at 6am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium
Albirex Niigata
0 - 0
Reysol

Fujiwara (55'), Horigome (76')
FT

Hosoya (33'), Takamine (45+2'), Tatsuta (50'), Muto (85')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Kashiwa Reysol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yokohama FC 1-0 Albirex Niigata
Wednesday, May 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Reysol
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawKashiwa Reysol
40.09% (-0.303 -0.3) 26.09% (0.166 0.17) 33.82% (0.137 0.14)
Both teams to score 53.58% (-0.509 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.15% (-0.671 -0.67)50.85% (0.671 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.27% (-0.595 -0.6)72.73% (0.59400000000001 0.59)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (-0.459 -0.46)24.97% (0.459 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.38% (-0.64 -0.64)59.62% (0.64 0.64)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (-0.241 -0.24)28.58% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (-0.302 -0.3)64.37% (0.303 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 40.09%
    Kashiwa Reysol 33.82%
    Draw 26.09%
Albirex NiigataDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.135 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 40.09%
1-1 @ 12.4% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.14% (0.191 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.179 0.18)
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.6% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 33.82%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Yokohama FC 1-0 Albirex Niigata
Wednesday, May 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-2 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, April 23 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, April 15 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-0 Albirex Niigata
Sunday, April 9 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-3 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, April 1 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Reysol
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Reysol
Sunday, April 23 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, April 15 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-0 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, April 9 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-3 Urawa
Friday, March 31 at 11am in J1 League
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe15103232112133
2Yokohama F MarinosYokohama16103333171633
3Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1695223131032
4Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima169252215729
5Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa158432012828
6Cerezo OsakaCerezo168262118326
7Consadole SapporoConsadole167453731625
8Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers167452216625
9Sagan Tosu166461820-222
10Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki156361918121
11Avispa Fukuoka165561620-420
12FC Tokyo165472125-419
13Albirex Niigata164571825-717
14Kyoto Sanga1641111727-1013
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka163491832-1413
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare152672327-412
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol162681324-1112
18Yokohama FCYokohama FC1633101335-2212
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