Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.