Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
34.76% ( 0.49)	24.95% ( -0.14)	40.28% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 57.66% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.33% (

0.72)

45.67% (

-0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32% (

0.68)

68% (

-0.68)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.47% (

0.63)

25.53% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.62% (

0.85)

60.38% (

-0.85)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.42% (

0.13)

22.58% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.83% (

0.2)

56.18% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 34.76%

Cerezo Osaka 40.28%

Draw 24.95%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
2-1 @ 8% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.76%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.95%	1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.28%