Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 52.43%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
-0.3) 
0.01) 
