SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Beitar Jerusalem | Draw | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
41.98% ( 0.33) | 27.48% ( -0.05) | 30.53% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 48.22% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.79% ( 0.08) | 57.2% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.94% ( 0.07) | 78.06% ( -0.07) |
| Beitar Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% ( 0.22) | 26.88% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.8% ( 0.28) | 62.2% ( -0.29) |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( -0.17) | 34.05% ( 0.16) |
