SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 53%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
53% ( 1.61) | 25.41% ( -0.47) | 21.59% ( -1.13) |
| Both teams to score 46.87% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.67% ( 0.67) | 55.33% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.46% ( 0.54) | 76.55% ( -0.54) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.1% ( 0.95) | 20.9% ( -0.95) |
