SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 47.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 25.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Korea | Draw | Tunisia |
47.11% ( 0.25) | 26.91% ( -0.01) | 25.99% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 47.14% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.75% ( -0.09) | 57.25% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.9% ( -0.08) | 78.1% ( 0.08) |
| South Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% ( 0.08) | 24.32% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.29% ( 0.11) | 58.71% ( -0.11) |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.3% ( -0.26) | 37.7% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.52% ( -0.25) | 74.48% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Korea | Draw | Tunisia |
| 1-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 47.1% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.67% Total : 25.99% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 43 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 43 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 32 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
| 10 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 29 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Everton | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 17 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 16 |
| 19 | Burnley | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 12 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
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