SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 50.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Peru had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Peru |
50.79% ( -0.34) | 24.92% ( 0) | 24.29% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.02% ( 0.3) | 50.98% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.15% ( 0.26) | 72.85% ( -0.26) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( -0.02) | 20.08% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.69% ( -0.03) | 52.31% ( 0.04) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.25% ( 0.47) | 35.75% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.48% ( 0.48) | 72.52% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Peru |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 50.79% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.06)Other @ 1% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.94% Total : 24.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 69 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 47 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Brentford | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 27 |
| 14 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 24 |
| 20 | Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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