SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 44.67%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 25.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mauritania would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mauritania | Draw | Madagascar |
44.67% ( -0.09) | 29.57% ( 0.02) | 25.76% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 40.23% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.07% ( -0) | 65.94% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.46% ( -0) | 84.54% ( 0.01) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.36% ( -0.05) | 29.64% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.32% ( -0.06) | 65.68% ( 0.06) |
| Madagascar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.17% ( 0.06) | 42.83% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.86% ( 0.05) | 79.15% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mauritania | Draw | Madagascar |
| 1-0 @ 15.43% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.35% Total : 44.66% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.69% 2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 29.57% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.07% Total : 25.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 43 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 43 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 32 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
| 10 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 29 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Everton | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 17 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 16 |
| 19 | Burnley | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 12 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
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