SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | Uruguay |
39.45% ( -0.13) | 29.2% ( -0.06) | 31.36% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 43.76% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.09% ( 0.24) | 62.91% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.6% ( 0.18) | 82.4% ( -0.18) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.91% ( 0.04) | 31.09% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.58% ( 0.05) | 67.41% ( -0.06) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.5% ( 0.28) | 36.49% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.72% ( 0.28) | 73.28% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Japan | Draw | Uruguay |
| 1-0 @ 13.25% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 39.44% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.19% | 0-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.9% Total : 31.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
