SM
| Current League C2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cyprus win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cyprus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cyprus | Draw | Bulgaria |
41.85% ( 0) | 27.74% ( 0) | 30.41% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.43% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.81% ( -0.02) | 58.18% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.16% ( -0.02) | 78.83% ( 0.02) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% ( -0.01) | 27.41% ( 0.01) |
