Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester United | Draw | Lyon |
50.26% ( -0.16) | 23.5% ( 0.05) | 26.24% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 57.9% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.75% ( -0.13) | 43.25% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.35% ( -0.13) | 65.65% ( 0.12) |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.69% ( -0.11) | 17.31% ( 0.11) |