Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
3.17) 
-0.81) 
