SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for Club America had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Club America win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Club America |
49.38% ( 2.48) | 24.04% ( -0.1) | 26.57% ( -2.37) |
| Both teams to score 56.38% ( -1.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.6% ( -1.18) | 45.4% ( 1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.27% ( -1.13) | 67.73% ( 1.13) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.54% ( 0.53) | 18.46% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.35% ( 0.89) | 49.65% ( -0.89) |
| Club America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( -2.35) | 30.85% ( 2.35) |
