Plymouth Argyle 1-4 Leeds United - FA Cup Fourth Round Replays - Football

A Plymouth side with a taste for goals at home coming up against the dogged defensive unit of Leeds will make for a fascinating watch, and with the Home Park crowd willing them on, Argyle's attacking ruthlessness should come to the fore. An in-form Whites side can be expected to fight fire with fire, but should penalties be required to decide the two sides' destiny, we have faith in Foster's men to book a fifth-round date with Premier League opposition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%).

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Leeds United
28.14% ( -0)	22.35%	49.51%

Both teams to score 63.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.65%

36.35% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.52%

58.48% (

-0)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.96% (

-0)

25.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28%

59.72% (

-0)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.97%

15.03% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.49%

43.51% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 28.14%

Leeds United 49.51%

Draw 22.35%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Leeds United
2-1 @ 6.84% 1-0 @ 5.21% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.61% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 1.67% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.54% Total : 28.14%	1-1 @ 9.88% 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 3.76% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.35%	1-2 @ 9.36% 0-1 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 6.76% 1-3 @ 5.91% 0-3 @ 4.27% 2-3 @ 4.09% 1-4 @ 2.8% 0-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.94% 1-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 4.16% Total : 49.51%