SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
27.1% ( 0.01) | 23.39% ( 0) | 49.5% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.05% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.91% ( -0.02) | 42.08% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.51% ( -0.02) | 64.49% ( 0.02) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% ( -0) | 28.72% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.45% ( -0) | 64.55% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% ( -0.01) | 17.15% ( 0.01) |
