SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Port Vale |
37.49% ( 0.02) | 25.42% | 37.1% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.28% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.44% ( 0.01) | 47.56% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% ( 0.01) | 69.77% ( 0) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.13% ( 0.01) | 24.87% ( -0) |
