SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 55.67%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 22.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Port Vale |
55.67% ( 0.01) | 21.45% ( 0) | 22.87% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.25% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.88% ( -0.03) | 37.11% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.69% ( -0.03) | 59.3% ( 0.03) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.68% ( -0.01) | 13.31% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.83% ( -0.02) | 40.16% ( 0.01) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( -0.03) | 29.34% ( 0.02) |
