SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Scotland win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Germany | Draw | Scotland |
62% ( -0.55) | 19.83% ( 0.14) | 18.17% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 59.28% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.82% ( 0.07) | 36.18% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.71% ( 0.07) | 58.29% ( -0.07) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.76% ( -0.12) | 11.24% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.2% ( -0.27) | 35.8% ( 0.27) |
| Scotland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.79% ( 0.49) | 33.21% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.18% ( 0.53) | 69.82% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Germany | Draw | Scotland |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.12)1-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.66% Total : 62% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.83% | 1-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.02% Total : 18.17% |
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