SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 14.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Scotland win it was 1-2 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Georgia | Draw | Scotland |
67.59% ( 0.03) | 17.91% ( -0.01) | 14.5% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.78% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.82% ( 0.03) | 34.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.93% ( 0.03) | 56.07% ( -0.03) |
| Georgia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.7% ( 0.02) | 9.29% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.62% ( 0.03) | 31.37% ( -0.03) |
| Scotland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.7% ( -0) | 36.29% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.92% ( -0) | 73.08% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Georgia | Draw | Scotland |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.64% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.54% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.54% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.48% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.16% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.13% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 4.66% Total : 67.59% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.91% | 1-2 @ 4.12% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.42% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.65% 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 14.5% |
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