Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Albania | 8 | 8 | 15 |
2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 6 | 15 |
3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
4 | Moldova | 8 | -3 | 10 |
5 | Faroe Islands | 8 | -11 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 70.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 9.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.6%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.
Result | ||
Poland | Draw | Estonia |
70.77% (![]() | 19.71% (![]() | 9.52% (![]() |
Both teams to score 36.25% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.52% (![]() | 54.47% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.16% (![]() | 75.83% (![]() |
Poland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.72% (![]() | 14.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.93% (![]() | 42.06% (![]() |
Estonia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42.29% (![]() | 57.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.56% (![]() | 89.43% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Poland | Draw | Estonia |
1-0 @ 16.03% (![]() 2-0 @ 15.6% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 10.12% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.58% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.57% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.7% Total : 70.74% | 1-1 @ 8.82% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.24% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.36% ( ![]() Other @ 0.3% Total : 19.71% | 0-1 @ 4.53% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 1.32% Total : 9.52% |
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