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NI
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park
KN
N. Ireland
0 - 1
Kazakhstan

Saville (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aymbetov (88')
Alip (67'), Tagybergen (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Denmark 1-0 N. Ireland
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: San Marino 0-3 Kazakhstan
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Northern Ireland 1-1 Kazakhstan

Northern Ireland have won just one of their last six home internationals, and we think that they will have to settle for a draw against a Kazakhstan side that will be full of confidence after winning consecutive matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Kazakhstan has a probability of 34.36% and a draw has a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Kazakhstan win is 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.72%).

Result
Northern IrelandDrawKazakhstan
43.93% (-24.112 -24.11) 21.71% (-0.932 -0.93) 34.36% (25.038 25.04)
Both teams to score 69.78% (40.421 40.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.16% (34.284 34.28)29.83% (-34.29 -34.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.01% (32.277 32.28)50.99% (-32.281 -32.28)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (4.061 4.06)14.5% (-4.068 -4.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.5% (7.323 7.32)42.49% (-7.329 -7.33)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (45.559 45.56)18.38% (-45.565 -45.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (43.018 43.02)49.52% (-43.024 -43.02)
Score Analysis
    Northern Ireland 43.93%
    Kazakhstan 34.36%
    Draw 21.71%
Northern IrelandDrawKazakhstan
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.891 0.89)
3-1 @ 5.42% (1.193 1.19)
1-0 @ 5.15% (-14.834 -14.83)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-11.861 -11.86)
3-2 @ 4.59% (3.645 3.65)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-6.249 -6.25)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.837 0.84)
4-2 @ 2.22% (1.818 1.82)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-2.434 -2.43)
4-3 @ 1.25% (1.192 1.19)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.411 0.41)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 8.72% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-2 @ 7.13% (5.447 5.45)
0-0 @ 2.66% (-9.206 -9.21)
3-3 @ 2.59% (2.45 2.45)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 7.38% (5.385 5.39)
0-1 @ 4.51% (-0.794 -0.79)
1-3 @ 4.17% (3.87 3.87)
2-3 @ 4.03% (3.774 3.77)
0-2 @ 3.82% (2.636 2.64)
0-3 @ 2.16% (1.981 1.98)
1-4 @ 1.77% (1.732 1.73)
2-4 @ 1.71% (1.677 1.68)
3-4 @ 1.1% (1.081 1.08)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.894 0.89)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Denmark 1-0 N. Ireland
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: N. Ireland 0-1 Finland
Sunday, March 26 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: San Marino 0-2 N. Ireland
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Greece 3-1 N. Ireland
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: N. Ireland 2-1 Kosovo
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: N. Ireland 2-2 Cyprus
Sunday, June 12 at 2pm in Nations League
Last Game: San Marino 0-3 Kazakhstan
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Kazakhstan 3-2 Denmark
Sunday, March 26 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Kazakhstan 1-2 Slovenia
Thursday, March 23 at 3pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: UAE 2-1 Kazakhstan
Saturday, November 19 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Uzbekistan 2-0 Kazakhstan
Wednesday, November 16 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Azerbaijan 3-0 Kazakhstan
Sunday, September 25 at 5pm in Nations League
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