SM
| Current League C2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Finland had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest Finland win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northern Ireland | Draw | Finland |
41.73% ( 0.09) | 28.62% ( -0.01) | 29.65% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 44.68% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.52% ( 0.03) | 61.48% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.65% ( 0.02) | 81.35% ( -0.02) |
| Northern Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.94% ( 0.06) | 29.06% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.03% ( 0.08) | 64.97% ( -0.08) |
| Finland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.98% ( -0.04) | 37.01% ( 0.04) |
