SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| 2 | Denmark | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Kazakhstan | 8 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 6 | San Marino | 8 | -25 | 0 |
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| 2 | Denmark | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Kazakhstan | 8 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 6 | San Marino | 8 | -25 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 15.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Denmark in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Denmark.
| Result | ||
| Denmark | Draw | Slovenia |
62.88% ( -2.16) | 21.87% ( 0.62) | 15.24% ( 1.54) |
| Both teams to score 46.13% ( 1.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.53% ( 0.43) | 50.46% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.6% ( 0.38) | 72.39% ( -0.39) |
| Denmark Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.52% ( -0.56) | 15.47% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.65% ( -1.04) | 44.34% ( 1.04) |
| Slovenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.57% ( 2.52) | 45.42% ( -2.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.73% ( 1.92) | 81.27% ( -1.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Denmark | Draw | Slovenia |
| 1-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.49) 2-0 @ 12.23% ( -0.71)2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.6)3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.35)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.05% Total : 62.87% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.31)Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.87% | 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.41)0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 1% ( 0.15)Other @ 1.35% Total : 15.24% |
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