SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 14.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a FC Midtjylland win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
66.11% ( 0.03) | 19.31% ( -0.01) | 14.58% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.78% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.26% ( 0.03) | 40.74% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.87% ( 0.03) | 63.13% ( -0.03) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.51% ( 0.01) | 11.48% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.66% ( 0.03) | 36.34% ( -0.04) |
| FC Midtjylland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.62% ( -0) | 40.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.01% ( -0) | 76.99% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
| 2-0 @ 10.85% 1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.83% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.84% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.83% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 3.89% Total : 66.1% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.31% | 0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.91% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 14.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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