SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | Ferencvaros |
48.15% ( -0.26) | 24.89% ( 0.05) | 26.96% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 53.95% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.24% ( -0.06) | 48.76% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.13% ( -0.05) | 70.87% ( 0.06) |
| Red Star Belgrade Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.71% ( -0.13) | 20.28% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.35% ( -0.21) | 52.64% ( 0.22) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.68% ( 0.14) | 32.32% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.17% ( 0.16) | 68.83% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | Ferencvaros |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 48.15% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 26.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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