SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Roma had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Roma |
41.74% ( 0.2) | 27.77% ( -0.05) | 30.49% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 47.37% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.73% ( 0.12) | 58.27% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.1% ( 0.09) | 78.9% ( -0.1) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.48% ( 0.16) | 27.51% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.98% ( 0.21) | 63.02% ( -0.22) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% ( -0.05) | 34.64% ( 0.05) |
