SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for an AEK Larnaca win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | AEK Larnaca |
55.47% ( -0.4) | 23.12% ( -0.06) | 21.41% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 53.48% ( 0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.56% ( 0.79) | 46.44% ( -0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.28% ( 0.74) | 68.72% ( -0.74) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.41% ( 0.14) | 16.59% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.61% ( 0.26) | 46.39% ( -0.26) |
| AEK Larnaca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.12% ( 0.9) | 35.88% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.34% ( 0.91) | 72.66% ( -0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | AEK Larnaca |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 55.46% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.86% Total : 21.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
