SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valmiera win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Tre Penne had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valmiera win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Tre Penne win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valmiera would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valmiera | Draw | Tre Penne |
61.36% ( -0.04) | 21.27% ( 0.01) | 17.36% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.54% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.75% ( -0.01) | 44.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.37% ( -0.01) | 66.62% ( 0.01) |
| Valmiera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.08% ( -0.02) | 13.91% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.64% ( -0.03) | 41.35% ( 0.03) |
| Tre Penne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.03% ( 0.03) | 38.96% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.31% ( 0.02) | 75.68% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valmiera | Draw | Tre Penne |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% 2-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.22% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.35% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 61.36% | 1-1 @ 10.07% 0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.26% | 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.41% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 17.36% |
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